rsi.watch

Repeated wrong

What circulates about RSI, set against what the source actually says. 13 corrections across 9 claims, each checked on the source page.

undated · Anthropic

When AI builds itself

  • no primary sourceJack Clark puts ~30% odds on RSI by end-2027 and 60% by 2028.No primary source found for these numbers.

2026-09-10 · Yi Duan et al. (35 authors)

The Last AI Built by Humans

  • no primary sourceAuthors from SJTU, Theseus Labs, Tsinghua, ByteDance, Shanghai AI Lab.Affiliations were not visible on the arXiv pages we read.

2026-09-06† · OpenAI

Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI

  • contradictedThis post says "fully autonomous RSI is not happening today."That line is in OpenAI's 09-21 standards post, not this one.
  • no primary sourceOpenAI reported a ~4x research speedup.No such figure in the post.

2026-09 · Sakana AI

RSI Lab

  • no primary sourceThe lab will focus on physical AI.The page does not mention physical AI; that framing is from press.

2026-01-29 · METR

Time Horizon 1.1

  • no primary sourceMETR's latest figure is a 105-day doubling time.Attributed to METR's 2026-05-19 Frontier Risk Report in secondary sources; not found in the report's text.
  • supersededAI task length doubles every 7 months.That is METR's 2025 figure. TH1.1 puts it at 131 days since 2023, 89 days since 2024.